Utah State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
25  Alyssa Snyder JR 19:31
104  Kashley Carter JR 19:59
162  Tori Parkinson SR 20:10
211  Tylee Newman SR 20:18
221  Cierra Simmons JR 20:19
274  Presli Hutchison JR 20:27
336  Kelsey Yamauchi SR 20:35
408  Tavia Dutson JR 20:42
522  Katie Struthers FR 20:52
537  Josie Givens SO 20:54
1,039  Kelsey Girardelli SR 21:31
National Rank #15 of 348
Mountain Region Rank #3 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 94.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 21.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 71.3%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 91.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alyssa Snyder Kashley Carter Tori Parkinson Tylee Newman Cierra Simmons Presli Hutchison Kelsey Yamauchi Tavia Dutson Katie Struthers Josie Givens Kelsey Girardelli
BYU Autumn Classic 09/16 453 19:34 20:06 20:12 20:46 20:06 20:24 20:30 20:42 20:51 21:16
Paul Short Gold 09/29 438 19:33 20:16 20:10 20:24 20:09 20:07 20:18 21:02 21:10 21:11
Steven Reeder Invitational 10/06 1229 21:28
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 20:39 20:48 20:38 21:43
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 352 19:21 20:00 20:01 20:12 20:03 20:36 20:27
Mountain West Championship 10/27 378 19:31 19:56 20:05 19:53 20:41 20:35 21:39 20:23 20:27
Mountain Region Championships 11/10 476 19:57 19:48 20:24 19:57 20:28 20:36 20:44





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 94.0% 15.9 436 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 2.0 2.9 4.3 5.4 5.6 5.2 4.5 6.0 6.0 5.6 5.2 4.6 4.9 4.4 3.8 3.7 2.8 3.3 2.8 2.8 2.1 1.6 1.2 1.6 0.8 0.1
Region Championship 100% 3.9 122 0.2 1.7 44.6 31.2 14.1 6.0 2.0 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Snyder 99.9% 33.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.6 2.4 2.0 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.2 1.5 1.8 1.9
Kashley Carter 94.3% 98.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Tori Parkinson 94.0% 130.2 0.1 0.1
Tylee Newman 94.0% 152.5
Cierra Simmons 94.0% 157.9
Presli Hutchison 94.0% 177.6
Kelsey Yamauchi 94.0% 195.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Snyder 7.8 0.3 2.2 4.0 5.0 8.3 10.9 11.5 9.7 9.4 8.5 5.5 5.1 5.5 3.4 2.9 2.5 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
Kashley Carter 19.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.7 3.4 4.5 4.2 3.9 4.6 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.7 4.6 5.0 4.0 3.7
Tori Parkinson 26.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.6 1.2 2.0 1.5 2.4 2.2 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.6 4.0 4.0 3.7 4.4
Tylee Newman 32.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.5 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.0 2.8 3.8 2.7
Cierra Simmons 33.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.1 3.3
Presli Hutchison 40.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.2
Kelsey Yamauchi 46.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 1.7% 100.0% 1.7 1.7 2
3 44.6% 100.0% 9.7 10.9 8.1 6.7 4.7 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 44.6 3
4 31.2% 99.5% 1.3 1.0 1.5 5.5 5.6 5.0 3.2 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.3 0.1 31.0 4
5 14.1% 89.0% 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.4 2.1 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.3 1.4 1.6 12.6 5
6 6.0% 57.5% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 2.6 3.5 6
7 2.0% 25.6% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.5 0.5 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 94.0% 0.2 1.7 9.7 12.2 9.1 8.2 10.3 8.7 7.6 5.9 3.9 4.5 4.4 3.7 4.1 6.1 1.9 92.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan 98.8% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 97.2% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 96.9% 2.0 1.9
Villanova 90.1% 1.0 0.9
BYU 82.0% 2.0 1.6
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
Eastern Kentucky 45.5% 1.0 0.5
Ohio State 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Louisville 33.4% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 27.9% 1.0 0.3
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Northern Arizona 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Cornell 13.1% 1.0 0.1
Princeton 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Duke 4.9% 2.0 0.1
Arizona 2.8% 2.0 0.1
Wake Forest 2.5% 2.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Miss State 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dayton 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 9.4
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 18.0